我国自然灾害危机管理中的公众参与问题研究

由于我国特殊的地理环璋导致每年自然灾害频发.仅仅依靠政府部门的力量来应对危机已不能满足灾情的需要,公众作用的发挥就显得尤为重要.但是在公众参与自然灾害管理的过程中也会暴露一些问题,本文将对这些问题的解决展开一些探讨.     

论篮球运动员球感的建立机制

球感的建立是长期的强化训练和在高水平竞赛中培养的结果,其形成有独特的生理机制和心理因素。     

Cervical cancer prevention in Morocco: a model-based cost-effectiveness analysis

Abstract

Objective: Cervical cancer is a huge public health issue in Morocco which represents the second most frequent and fatal cancer among women. Countries that have not yet introduced the HPV vaccine could benefit greatly, but before implementation it is necessary to perform country-specific economic assessments that include current screening practices.

Methods: A Markov model was developed to simulate the natural history of HPV and cervical cancer so as to calculate the long-term health benefits and costs of HPV vaccination and current screening by visual inspection with acetic acid (VIA). Starting from a previous transition probability matrix used for a model from Spain, the present model was calibrated to cervical cancer incidence from Morocco. Cost survey data was used to estimate the cost of screening and clinical procedures from the public healthcare perspective. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were calculated as 2018US$ per additional year of life saved (YLS) and both costs and health outcomes were discounted at 3%.

Results: The expected reduction in lifetime risk of cervical cancer for current screening would be 14% at a cost of US$551/YLS compared with no intervention, assuming VIA every 3 years in women aged 30–49 at 10% coverage. HPV vaccination of pre-adolescent girls at 70% coverage would reduce the lifetime risk of cervical cancer by 62% at a cost of US$1,150/YLS, compared with no intervention. When implementing HPV vaccination in combination with current screening, vaccination would be dominated, and the combined strategy would provide a 69% reduction at a cost of US$2,843/YLS, compared with screening alone. Current screening would be dominated by vaccination when screening coverage is higher than 15%, whereas the combined strategy rapidly exceeds US$4,000/YLS.

Conclusions: HPV vaccination could be highly effective and cost-effective in Morocco. Current screening would be good value for money compared with no intervention, but scaling-up screening coverage would make it inefficient compared with vaccination.     

Identifying an Advertisement Presenter's Tribe

ABSTRACT

In African countries it is generally important to identify another person's tribe when meeting that person for the first time. A similar process of identification also seems to take place when a consumer sees a presenter in an advertisement. This paper identifies the cues that are used in tribal identification, demonstrates that multiple cues are employed, and shows that nonvisual cues are generally more important than visual ones. It also finds that audience members notice a presenter's tribe more frequently in advertisements appearing on television than in those appearing in print or outdoor media. The managerial implications of these findings are discussed.     

浅析社会发展中的时空观

本文阐述了正确把握马克思主义时空观及其与社会发展的关系,对于树立时间的节约意识,加强科技事业快速发展,从而推动社会和个人的全面发展,具有重要的意义.     

内部控制核心内涵的历史演变及其评述

内部控制在其百余年的发展进程中,取得了丰富的研究成果,但也存在着潜在的缺陷。追溯内部控制理论的历史发展轨迹,探析其历史发展各阶段的理论形成过程、主要推动因素、核心内涵演变,有助于对内部控制发展历程进行全方位审视,从而提炼其理论研究成果,分析其存在的局限,为拓展内部控制研究路径奠定文献基础。     

视觉霸权笼罩下的舞蹈

本文通过分析因信息接收方式的变革而产生的视觉霸权与舞蹈发展过程中的诸多碰撞,从而归纳出视觉霸权主义对舞蹈自身发展影响的五个方面即:舞蹈群众性参与的属性逐渐流失,专业化氛围的抽离;舞蹈深层表达的逐渐淡化,外在表现的逐渐强化;舞蹈创作主体意识的削弱,被动性增强;纯粹性的舞蹈审美日益多元化;促进舞蹈专业人士的不断反思和尝试。文章旨在思考和审视中开拓舞蹈前进之路,在探索与追问中谋求自身的发展。     

改革开放以来党的忧患意识传承轨迹

改革开放以来。党的忧患意识经过了三次历史性的跨越，第一次跨越是邓小平对社会主义前途和命运的忧患意识，第二次跨越是江泽民对中国共产党执政地位的忧患意识，第三次跨越是胡锦涛要求全党进一步增强忧患意识。回顾改革开放以来我们党的忧患意识的发展历程，比较系统总结这30年党的忧患意识的传承经验，全面推进党的建设新的伟大工程具有重要的理论意义和现实意义。     

当代大学生价值观的调查与分析

以笔者所在学院大学生为研究对象,对其思想、学习、生活和就业等方面进行问卷调查分析。当前,弘扬爱国主义、以人为本、建设和谐校园和加强责任感教育,是引导大学生树立社会主义核心价值观的基本内容。     

视觉导航关键技术及应用研究

由于视觉导航技术的应用越来越普及,因此,有必要对视觉导航中的关键技术及应用进行研究。文章对其中的图像处理技术和定位与跟踪技术进行了详细研究,并与此相对应,介绍的相关的应用。